Current election polls and polling data from Norstat

Latest voting intention survey by Norstat for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Norstat, the parties received the following results: SDE 21.6%, Isamaa 20.9%, Reformierakond 16.8%, EKRE 16.7%, Keskerakond 9.1%, Parempoolsed 6.9%, E200 3.3%, KOOS 1.6% and EER 0.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1302 people during the period 06.06.2024 - 06.06.2024.
1302 participants
04.06.2024 - 06.06.2024
Norstat
SDE
21.6
-0.5
I
20.9
+0.8
R
16.8
-1.0
EKRE
16.7
+1.2
K
9.1
-0.2
P
6.9
+2.1
E200
3.3
-1.4
KOOS
1.6
-0.7
EER
0.6
-0.5
Others
2.5
+0.2
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE
22
22.9%
K
9
9.4%
E200
3
3.1%
R
17
17.7%
I
21
21.9%
P
6
6.3%
KOOS
1
1%
EKRE
17
17.7%
SDE + Isamaa + Reformierakond
62.5%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + EKRE
57.3%
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
56.3%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
55.2%
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
54.2%
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
53.1%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
52.1%
SDE + Isamaa + Parempoolsed
51.0%
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
50.0%
SDE + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed + E200
50.0%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
49.0%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed + E200
49.0%
Isamaa + EKRE + Parempoolsed + E200
49.0%

62

PolitPro Score

Norstat achieves a score of 62/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
E200
38
56
5
EER
2
98
1
EKRE
16
55
29
I
10
70
21
K
9
60
31
KOOS
19
81
0
P
26
73
1
R
10
42
48
SDE
31
65
4

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.