Current election polls and polling data from Noto

Latest voting intention survey by Noto for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Noto, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28%, Partito Democratico 20.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15%, Forza Italia 9%, Lega 9%, AVS 4%, Azione 4%, SUE 4%, Libertà 3%, PTD 2.2% and AP 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 25.05.2024. The survey was commissioned by Porta a Porta.
1000 participants
25.05.2024
Noto
Porta a Porta
FdI
28.0
±0.0
PD
20.5
±0.0
M5S
15.0
±0.0
FI
9.0
±0.0
Lega
9.0
±0.0
AVS
4.0
±0.0
A
4.0
±0.0
SUE
4.0
±0.0
L
3.0
±0.0
PTD
2.2
±0.0
AP
0.5
±0.0
Others
0.8
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SUE
3
3.1%
M5S
15
15.6%
AVS
4
4.2%
PTD
2
2.1%
PD
20
20.8%
A
4
4.2%
L
2
2.1%
FI
9
9.4%
FdI
28
29.2%
Lega
9
9.4%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.2%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.0%

79

PolitPro Score

Noto achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
A
0
100
0
AVS
9
91
0
FI
12
88
0
FdI
9
91
0
Lega
12
70
18
M5S
9
82
9
PD
33
61
6

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.