Current election polls and polling data from OpinionWay

Latest voting intention survey by OpinionWay for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by OpinionWay, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 33%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 14%, La France insoumise 8%, Les Républicains 6%, Reconquête 6%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 3%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 1%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1% and Union populaire républicaine 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2182 people during the period 06.06.2024 - 06.06.2024.
2182 participants
04.06.2024 - 06.06.2024
OpinionWay
RN
33.0
±0.0
EN
15.0
±0.0
PS
14.0
±0.0
LFI
8.0
+2.0
LR
6.0
-1.0
REC
6.0
±0.0
EELV
5.0
±0.0
PA
3.0
+1.0
PCF
2.0
±0.0
AR
1.0
±0.0
LP
1.0
±0.0
LO
1.0
±0.0
NPA
1.0
-1.0
UPR
1.0
±0.0
Others
3.0
-1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
AR
1
1%
LO
1
1%
LFI
8
8.3%
PCF
3
3.1%
PA
3
3.1%
PS
14
14.6%
EELV
5
5.2%
EN
15
15.6%
LR
6
6.3%
RN
33
34.4%
LP
1
1%
REC
6
6.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
58.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
56.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
56.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français
53.1%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Animaliste
53.1%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
50.0%
Rassemblement national + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Animaliste
49.0%

65

PolitPro Score

OpinionWay achieves a score of 65/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
EELV
12
83
5
EN
8
86
6
LFI
48
52
0
LO
0
100
0
LP
0
100
0
LR
2
56
42
NPA
0
100
0
PCF
0
91
9
PS
0
98
2
REC
26
64
10
RN
12
67
21
UPR
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.