Current election polls and polling data from Quorum

Latest voting intention survey by Quorum for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Quorum, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.2%, Partito Democratico 20.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 9%, Forza Italia 8.5%, AVS 4.9%, SUE 4.1%, Azione 3.9%, PTD 1.9%, Libertà 0.9% and AP 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1604 people during the period 22.05.2024 - 22.05.2024.
1604 participants
21.05.2024 - 22.05.2024
Quorum
FdI
27.2
+0.4
PD
20.3
-0.4
M5S
15.9
-0.2
Lega
9.0
+0.7
FI
8.5
+0.5
AVS
4.9
+0.5
SUE
4.1
-0.6
A
3.9
-0.1
PTD
1.9
+0.1
L
0.9
-0.1
AP
0.5
+0.5
Others
2.9
-1.3

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SUE
5
5.2%
M5S
16
16.7%
AVS
5
5.2%
PTD
1
1%
PD
21
21.9%
A
3
3.1%
FI
9
9.4%
FdI
27
28.1%
Lega
9
9.4%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.2%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
50.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
50.0%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Forza Italia lower

In 34% of election polls Quorum rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
A
3
97
0
AVS
0
98
3
FI
34
62
4
FdI
4
81
15
Lega
10
88
2
M5S
27
67
6
PD
0
94
6
PTD
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.