Current election polls and polling data from Simple Lógica

Latest voting intention survey by Simple Lógica for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Simple Lógica, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 36.4%, PSOE 29.9%, Vox 10.9%, Sumar 8%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Junts per Catalunya 2.2%, Podemos 2% and CEUS 1.1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1131 people during the period 09.05.2024 - 09.05.2024.
1131 participants
01.05.2024 - 09.05.2024
Simple Lógica
PP
36.4
±0.0
PSOE
29.9
±0.0
Vox
10.9
±0.0
Sumar
8.0
±0.0
AR
4.8
±0.0
JxC
2.2
±0.0
POD
2.0
±0.0
CEUS
1.1
±0.0
Others
4.7
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
Sumar
8
8.3%
AR
4
4.2%
POD
2
2.1%
PSOE
31
32.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
37
38.5%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
70.8%
Partido Popular + Vox
50.0%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas
44.8%

69

PolitPro Score

Simple Lógica achieves a score of 69/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
POD
0
100
0
PP
55
39
6
PSOE
14
58
28
Sumar
0
73
27
Vox
13
57
30

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.