Current election polls and polling data from SocioMétrica

Latest voting intention survey by SocioMétrica for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by SocioMétrica, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 3.8%, Podemos 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2.8%, SALF 2.7%, CEUS 1.6% and Ciudadanos 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 3058 people during the period 02.06.2024 - 02.06.2024.
3058 participants
30.05.2024 - 02.06.2024
SocioMétrica
PP
34.1
-0.7
PSOE
29.3
-0.1
Vox
10.1
-0.6
Sumar
6.3
±0.0
AR
3.8
-0.7
POD
3.7
+0.4
JxC
2.8
+0.1
SALF
2.7
+0.7
CEUS
1.6
+1.6
Cs
0.9
±0.0
Others
4.7
-0.7
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
2
2.1%
Sumar
7
7.3%
AR
4
4.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
30
31.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
35
36.5%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
Partido Popular + Vox
47.9%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos
46.9%

82

PolitPro Score

SocioMétrica achieves a score of 82/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Cs
8
65
27
JxC
0
100
0
POD
0
100
0
PP
41
41
19
PSOE
43
45
12
SALF
0
100
0
Sumar
10
90
0
Vox
6
71
23

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.