Current election polls and polling data from SocioMétrica

Latest voting intention survey by SocioMétrica for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by SocioMétrica, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 3.8%, Podemos 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2.8%, SALF 2.7%, CEUS 1.6% and Ciudadanos 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 3058 people during the period 02.06.2024 - 02.06.2024.
3058 participants
30.05.2024 - 02.06.2024
SocioMétrica
PP
34.1
-0.7
PSOE
29.3
-0.1
Vox
10.1
-0.6
Sumar
6.3
±0.0
AR
3.8
-0.7
POD
3.7
+0.4
JxC
2.8
+0.1
SALF
2.7
+0.7
CEUS
1.6
+1.6
Cs
0.9
±0.0
Others
4.7
-0.7

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
2
2.1%
Sumar
7
7.3%
AR
4
4.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
30
31.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
35
36.5%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
Partido Popular + Vox
47.9%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos
46.9%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 42% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 45% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Cs
8
65
27
JxC
0
100
0
POD
0
100
0
PP
42
39
19
PSOE
45
43
12
SALF
0
100
0
Sumar
11
89
0
Vox
6
70
24

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.