Current election polls and polling data from Trend

Latest voting intention survey by Trend for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Trend, the parties received the following results: GERB 26.4%, PP/DB 15.9%, Vŭzrazhdane 15%, DPS 14.3%, BSP 8.1%, ITN 5.9%, SBG 3.1%, SB 2.1%, VMRO 1.5%, Levitsata 1.1% and BV 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1007 people during the period 04.06.2024 - 04.06.2024.
1007 participants
29.05.2024 - 04.06.2024
Trend
GERB
26.4
+1.2
PP/DB
15.9
-0.2
V
15.0
+0.7
DPS
14.3
+0.1
BSP
8.1
-0.6
ITN
5.9
+1.1
SBG
3.1
+3.1
SB
2.1
+2.1
VMRO
1.5
+1.5
L
1.1
-0.6
BV
1.0
-0.7
Others
5.6
-7.7
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SBG
3
3.1%
SB
2
2.1%
L
1
1%
BSP
8
8.3%
ITN
6
6.3%
DPS
14
14.6%
GERB
27
28.1%
PP/DB
17
17.7%
BV
1
1%
VMRO
1
1%
V
16
16.7%
0.0%

60

PolitPro Score

Trend achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
BSP
21
68
12
BV
0
100
0
DPS
12
82
6
GERB
21
65
15
ITN
4
88
8
L
Not enough data available
PP/DB
29
43
29
SB
Not enough data available
V
0
86
14
VMRO
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.