Current election polls and polling data from Turu-uuringute AS

Latest voting intention survey by Turu-uuringute AS for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Turu-uuringute AS, the parties received the following results: SDE 24.1%, Isamaa 19.3%, EKRE 16.7%, Reformierakond 13.7%, Keskerakond 13.4%, E200 4.2%, KOOS 4.2%, Parempoolsed 3.2% and EER 1.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1009 people during the period 22.05.2024 - 22.05.2024.
1009 participants
09.05.2024 - 22.05.2024
Turu-uuringute AS
SDE
24.1
±0.0
I
19.3
±0.0
EKRE
16.7
±0.0
R
13.7
±0.0
K
13.4
±0.0
E200
4.2
±0.0
KOOS
4.2
±0.0
P
3.2
±0.0
EER
1.3
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE
24
25%
K
12
12.5%
EER
1
1%
E200
4
4.2%
R
13
13.5%
I
19
19.8%
KOOS
4
4.2%
P
3
3.1%
EKRE
16
16.7%
SDE + Isamaa + Reformierakond
58.3%
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
57.3%
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond + E200
54.2%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200 + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
53.1%
SDE + Isamaa + E200 + Parempoolsed
52.1%
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
51.0%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
50.0%
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond
50.0%
SDE + Isamaa + E200
49.0%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
49.0%

68

PolitPro Score

Turu-uuringute AS achieves a score of 68/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
E200
11
67
22
EER
9
91
0
EKRE
31
56
13
I
23
69
8
K
20
39
41
KOOS
0
100
0
P
5
79
16
R
50
42
8
SDE
17
70
13

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.