EU-Parliament
Election trend
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EU-Parliament: Poll by Kantar Emor from 20.03.2024

Polling data

SDE
21.4
±0.0
R
18.9
±0.0
I
16.7
±0.0
EKRE
15.4
±0.0
K
13.9
±0.0
P
5.9
±0.0
E200
5.6
±0.0
Sonst.
2.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
SDE
New
R
New
I
New
EKRE
New
K
New
P
New
E200
New
Kantar Emor – 1135 respondents – 14.03.2024-20.03.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates E200 higher

In 56% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates E200 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Keskerakond lower

In 48% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Keskerakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reformierakond lower

In 34% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Reformierakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDE higher

In 52% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates SDE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the European election from Kantar Emor shows the following results: SDE 21.4%, Reformierakond 18.9%, Isamaa 16.7%, EKRE 15.4%, Keskerakond 13.9%, Parempoolsed 5.9% and E200 5.6%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, SDE might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. SDE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Emor. For this purpose, 1135 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (14.03.2024 - 20.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SDE
22
K
13
E200
5
R
19
I
17
P
5
EKRE
15
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE + Reformierakond + Isamaa
58
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
54
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
52
SDE + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed + E200
51
Reformierakond + Isamaa + EKRE
51
SDE + Isamaa + Parempoolsed + E200
49
Reformierakond + Isamaa + Keskerakond
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 14.03.2024 and 20.03.2024 among 1135 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDE 21.4%, Reformierakond 18.9%, Isamaa 16.7%, EKRE 15.4%, Keskerakond 13.9%, Parempoolsed 5.9% and E200 5.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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