EU-Parliament: Poll by Termometro Politico from 02.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
27.3
-0.5
PD
19.8
+0.2
M5S
15.9
-0.1
Lega
8.6
+0.2
FI
8.4
-0.1
SUE
4.8
-0.3
A
4.0
+0.1
AVS
3.6
+0.1
PTD
2.5
+0.1
DSP
1.7
-0.2
L
1.7
+0.1
Others
1.7
+0.4
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
FdI
+27.3
PD
New
M5S
+15.9
Lega
+8.6
FI
+8.4
SUE
+4.8
A
+4.0
AVS
+3.6
PTD
+2.5
DSP
+1.7
L
+1.7
Termometro Politico – 4600 respondents – 01.05.2024-02.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Lega higher

In 36% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Lega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Termometro Politico shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.3%, Partito Democratico 19.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 8.6%, Forza Italia 8.4%, SUE 4.8%, Azione 4%, AVS 3.6%, PTD 2.5%, DSp 1.7% and Libertà 1.7%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +27.3 growth since the last election. DSp, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Termometro Politico. For this purpose, 4600 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (01.05.2024 - 02.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SUE
5
5.2%
M5S
16
16.7%
AVS
3
3.1%
PTD
2
2.1%
PD
20
20.8%
A
3
3.1%
DSP
1
1%
L
1
1%
FI
9
9.4%
FdI
27
28.1%
Lega
9
9.4%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Termometro Politico. The survey took place between 01.05.2024 and 02.05.2024 among 4600 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 27.3%, Partito Democratico 19.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 8.6%, Forza Italia 8.4%, SUE 4.8%, Azione 4%, AVS 3.6%, PTD 2.5%, DSp 1.7% and Libertà 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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