EU-Parliament
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EU-Parliament: Poll by INSA from 13.05.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
±0.0
AfD
17.0
±0.0
SPD
15.5
-0.5
Grüne
13.0
±0.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Tier
2.0
+2.0
Sonst.
5.5
-1.5
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
CDU/CSU
New
AfD
New
SPD
New
Grüne
New
BSW
New
Linke
New
FDP
New
FW
New
Tier
New
INSA – 2100 respondents – 10.05.2024-13.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 39% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the European election from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 17%, SPD 15.5%, Grüne 13%, BSW 7%, Die Linke 4%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Tierschutzpartei 2%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (10.05.2024 - 13.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Linke
4
Tier
2
SPD
15
Grüne
13
BSW
7
FDP
4
CDU/CSU
30
FW
3
AfD
18
Majority requires 49 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
58
CDU/CSU + AfD + BSW
55
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
52
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
52
CDU/CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler
51
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP + Freie Wähler
50
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
50
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
49
CDU/CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler
48
CDU/CSU + AfD
48
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 10.05.2024 and 13.05.2024 among 2100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 17%, SPD 15.5%, Grüne 13%, BSW 7%, Die Linke 4%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Tierschutzpartei 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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