EU-Parliament: Poll by Ixè from 23.05.2024

Polling data

FdI
26.3
-1.5
PD
20.9
+0.7
M5S
15.5
-0.5
FI
8.8
+1.1
Lega
8.3
+0.1
AVS
4.1
-0.6
A
4.0
+0.8
SUE
4.0
+4.0
PTD
2.3
+2.3
L
2.2
+2.2
Others
3.6
-8.6
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
FdI
New
PD
New
M5S
New
FI
New
Lega
New
AVS
New
A
New
SUE
New
PTD
New
L
New
Ixè – 1000 respondents – 20.05.2024-23.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Lega lower

In 58% of election polls Ixè rates Lega lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Movimento 5 Stelle higher

In 40% of election polls, Ixè rates Movimento 5 Stelle higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partito Democratico higher

In 39% of election polls, Ixè rates Partito Democratico higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Ixè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 26.3%, Partito Democratico 20.9%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.5%, Forza Italia 8.8%, Lega 8.3%, AVS 4.1%, Azione 4%, SUE 4%, PTD 2.3% and Libertà 2.2%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Fratelli d’Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ixè. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (20.05.2024 - 23.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SUE
3
3.1%
M5S
16
16.7%
AVS
4
4.2%
PTD
2
2.1%
PD
21
21.9%
A
3
3.1%
L
2
2.1%
FI
9
9.4%
FdI
27
28.1%
Lega
9
9.4%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.2%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ixè. The survey took place between 20.05.2024 and 23.05.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 26.3%, Partito Democratico 20.9%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.5%, Forza Italia 8.8%, Lega 8.3%, AVS 4.1%, Azione 4%, SUE 4%, PTD 2.3% and Libertà 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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