EU-Parliament: Poll by Harris x Toluna from 27.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
32.0
+0.5
EN
14.5
-0.5
PS
14.0
-0.5
LFI
8.5
+0.5
LR
7.0
-0.5
EELV
5.0
±0.0
REC
5.0
-0.5
PCF
3.0
+0.5
PA
1.0
±0.0
AR
1.0
±0.0
LP
1.0
±0.0
UPR
1.0
±0.0
EAC
0.5
±0.0
EPT
0.5
±0.0
ETÉ
0.5
±0.0
LO
0.5
±0.0
ND
0.5
±0.0
NPA
0.5
±0.0
Others
4.0
+0.5
Harris x Toluna – 2347 respondents – 24.05.2024-27.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Harris x Toluna shows the following results: Rassemblement national 32%, Ensemble 14.5%, Parti socialiste 14%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Républicains 7%, Les Verts 5%, Reconquête 5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Animaliste 1%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, EAC 0.5%, EPT 0.5%, ETÉ 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%, ND 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Harris x Toluna. For this purpose, 2347 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (24.05.2024 - 27.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
LFI
9
9.4%
PCF
3
3.1%
PA
1
1%
PS
15
15.6%
EELV
6
6.3%
EN
15
15.6%
LR
8
8.3%
RN
33
34.4%
REC
6
6.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
59.4%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
58.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
56.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français
53.1%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
50.0%
Parti socialiste + Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Harris x Toluna. The survey took place between 24.05.2024 and 27.05.2024 among 2347 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 32%, Ensemble 14.5%, Parti socialiste 14%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Républicains 7%, Les Verts 5%, Reconquête 5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Animaliste 1%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, EAC 0.5%, EPT 0.5%, ETÉ 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%, ND 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.