EU-Parliament
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EU-Parliament: Poll by Turu-uuringute AS from 22.05.2024

Polling data

SDE
24.1
±0.0
I
19.3
±0.0
EKRE
16.7
±0.0
R
13.7
±0.0
K
13.4
±0.0
E200
4.2
±0.0
KOOS
4.2
±0.0
P
3.2
±0.0
EER
1.3
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
SDE
New
I
New
EKRE
New
R
New
K
New
E200
New
KOOS
New
P
New
EER
New
Turu-uuringute AS – 1009 respondents – 09.05.2024-22.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates EKRE lower

In 31% of election polls Turu-uuringute AS rates EKRE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Keskerakond higher

In 41% of election polls, Turu-uuringute AS rates Keskerakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reformierakond lower

In 52% of election polls Turu-uuringute AS rates Reformierakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the European election from Turu-uuringute AS shows the following results: SDE 24.1%, Isamaa 19.3%, EKRE 16.7%, Reformierakond 13.7%, Keskerakond 13.4%, E200 4.2%, KOOS 4.2%, Parempoolsed 3.2% and EER 1.3%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, SDE might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. SDE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Turu-uuringute AS. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (09.05.2024 - 22.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SDE
24
K
12
EER
1
E200
4
R
13
I
19
KOOS
4
P
3
EKRE
16
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE + Isamaa + Reformierakond
56
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
55
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond + E200
52
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200 + Parempoolsed
51
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
51
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
49
SDE + Isamaa + E200 + Parempoolsed
50
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
48
Isamaa + EKRE + Reformierakond
48
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
47
SDE + Isamaa + E200
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Turu-uuringute AS. The survey took place between 09.05.2024 and 22.05.2024 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDE 24.1%, Isamaa 19.3%, EKRE 16.7%, Reformierakond 13.7%, Keskerakond 13.4%, E200 4.2%, KOOS 4.2%, Parempoolsed 3.2% and EER 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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