EU-Parliament: Poll by Harris x Toluna from 31.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
32.0
-1.0
EN
14.5
±0.0
PS
13.5
±0.0
LFI
8.5
+0.5
LR
7.0
±0.0
EELV
5.5
±0.0
REC
5.5
±0.0
PCF
3.0
±0.0
Others
10.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
RN
+32.0
EN
+14.5
PS
+13.5
LFI
+8.5
LR
+7.0
EELV
+5.5
REC
+5.5
PCF
+3.0
Harris x Toluna – 2519 respondents – 30.05.2024-31.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Harris x Toluna shows the following results: Rassemblement national 32%, Ensemble 14.5%, Parti socialiste 13.5%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Républicains 7%, Les Verts 5.5%, Reconquête 5.5% and Parti communiste français 3%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +32.0 growth since the last election. Parti communiste français, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+3.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Harris x Toluna. For this purpose, 2519 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (30.05.2024 - 31.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
LFI
10
10.4%
PCF
3
3.1%
PS
15
15.6%
EELV
5
5.2%
EN
16
16.7%
LR
7
7.3%
RN
35
36.5%
REC
5
5.2%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
53.1%
Ensemble + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
51.0%
Rassemblement national + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Harris x Toluna. The survey took place between 30.05.2024 and 31.05.2024 among 2519 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 32%, Ensemble 14.5%, Parti socialiste 13.5%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Républicains 7%, Les Verts 5.5%, Reconquête 5.5% and Parti communiste français 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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