EU-Parliament: Poll by ELABE from 31.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
32.5
-0.5
EN
16.0
+0.5
PS
13.0
±0.0
LFI
8.5
+0.5
EELV
7.0
+1.0
LR
6.5
-0.5
REC
5.0
-0.5
PCF
3.0
+1.0
PA
2.0
±0.0
AR
1.0
-0.5
LP
1.0
+1.0
LO
1.0
±0.0
UPR
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.5
-2.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
RN
New
EN
New
PS
New
LFI
New
EELV
New
LR
New
REC
New
PCF
New
PA
New
AR
New
LP
New
LO
New
UPR
New
ELABE – 1803 respondents – 29.05.2024-31.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Les Républicains higher

In 30% of election polls, ELABE rates Les Républicains higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête lower

In 33% of election polls ELABE rates Reconquête lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from ELABE shows the following results: Rassemblement national 32.5%, Ensemble 16%, Parti socialiste 13%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Verts 7%, Les Républicains 6.5%, Reconquête 5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Animaliste 2%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Union populaire républicaine 1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ELABE. For this purpose, 1803 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (29.05.2024 - 31.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
LFI
9
9.4%
PCF
3
3.1%
PA
3
3.1%
PS
13
13.5%
EELV
7
7.3%
EN
16
16.7%
LR
7
7.3%
RN
33
34.4%
REC
5
5.2%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
51.0%
Ensemble + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
50.0%
Ensemble + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Animaliste
50.0%
Rassemblement national + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Animaliste
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by ELABE. The survey took place between 29.05.2024 and 31.05.2024 among 1803 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 32.5%, Ensemble 16%, Parti socialiste 13%, La France insoumise 8.5%, Les Verts 7%, Les Républicains 6.5%, Reconquête 5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Animaliste 2%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Union populaire républicaine 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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