EU-Parliament: Poll by Celeste-Tel from 28.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
34.9
±0.0
PSOE
29.3
±0.0
Vox
9.9
±0.0
Sumar
6.3
±0.0
AR
4.8
±0.0
POD
3.6
±0.0
JxC
2.6
±0.0
SALF
1.9
±0.0
CEUS
1.8
±0.0
PACMA
1.1
±0.0
Cs
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PP
+0.7
PSOE
-1.9
Vox
+0.3
Sumar
+1.6
AR
New
POD
+0.3
JxC
+0.1
SALF
-2.7
CEUS
+0.2
PACMA
+0.3
Cs
+0.3
Celeste-Tel – 1100 respondents – 23.05.2024-28.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Partido Popular higher

In 62% of election polls, Celeste-Tel rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox lower

In 37% of election polls Celeste-Tel rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Celeste-Tel shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.9%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 9.9%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Podemos 3.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.6%, SALF 1.9%, CEUS 1.8%, PACMA 1.1% and Ciudadanos 1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Sumar might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. SALF, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Celeste-Tel. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (23.05.2024 - 28.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
1
1%
Sumar
7
7.3%
AR
5
5.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
29
30.2%
CEUS
1
1%
PACMA
1
1%
JxC
3
3.1%
PP
35
36.5%
Vox
10
10.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
66.7%
Partido Popular + Vox + Junts per Catalunya
50.0%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos + Junts per Catalunya
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Celeste-Tel. The survey took place between 23.05.2024 and 28.05.2024 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.9%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 9.9%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Podemos 3.6%, Junts per Catalunya 2.6%, SALF 1.9%, CEUS 1.8%, PACMA 1.1% and Ciudadanos 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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