EU-Parliament: Poll by Norstat from 31.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SDE
22.1
+2.8
I
20.1
-1.2
R
17.8
-1.3
EKRE
15.5
+1.3
K
9.3
-2.2
P
4.8
+0.5
E200
4.7
+0.9
KOOS
2.3
-0.6
EER
1.1
+0.2
Others
2.3
-0.4
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
SDE
New
I
New
R
New
EKRE
New
K
New
P
New
E200
New
KOOS
New
EER
New
Norstat – 3502 respondents – 22.05.2024-31.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates E200 lower

In 38% of election polls Norstat rates E200 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Keskerakond higher

In 32% of election polls, Norstat rates Keskerakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reformierakond higher

In 48% of election polls, Norstat rates Reformierakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDE lower

In 30% of election polls Norstat rates SDE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Norstat shows the following results: SDE 22.1%, Isamaa 20.1%, Reformierakond 17.8%, EKRE 15.5%, Keskerakond 9.3%, Parempoolsed 4.8%, E200 4.7%, KOOS 2.3% and EER 1.1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, SDE might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. SDE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 3502 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (22.05.2024 - 31.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE
22
22.9%
K
9
9.4%
EER
1
1%
E200
4
4.2%
R
18
18.8%
I
20
20.8%
P
4
4.2%
KOOS
2
2.1%
EKRE
16
16.7%
SDE + Isamaa + Reformierakond
62.5%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + EKRE
56.3%
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
53.1%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
53.1%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
53.1%
SDE + Isamaa + E200 + Parempoolsed
52.1%
SDE + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
51.0%
SDE + Reformierakond + E200 + Parempoolsed
50.0%
Isamaa + Reformierakond + Keskerakond
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 22.05.2024 and 31.05.2024 among 3502 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDE 22.1%, Isamaa 20.1%, Reformierakond 17.8%, EKRE 15.5%, Keskerakond 9.3%, Parempoolsed 4.8%, E200 4.7%, KOOS 2.3% and EER 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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