EU-Parliament: Poll by OpinionWay from 30.05.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
33.0
+1.0
EN
15.0
±0.0
PS
14.0
±0.0
LR
7.0
±0.0
LFI
6.0
±0.0
REC
6.0
-1.0
EELV
5.0
±0.0
PA
2.0
±0.0
NPA
2.0
-1.0
PCF
2.0
±0.0
AR
1.0
±0.0
LP
1.0
±0.0
LO
1.0
±0.0
UPR
1.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
+1.0
OpinionWay – 2149 respondents – 28.05.2024-30.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates La France insoumise lower

In 48% of election polls OpinionWay rates La France insoumise lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Les Républicains higher

In 42% of election polls, OpinionWay rates Les Républicains higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from OpinionWay shows the following results: Rassemblement national 33%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 14%, Les Républicains 7%, La France insoumise 6%, Reconquête 6%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Union populaire républicaine 1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by OpinionWay. For this purpose, 2149 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (28.05.2024 - 30.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
NPA
2
2.1%
LFI
7
7.3%
PCF
2
2.1%
PA
2
2.1%
PS
15
15.6%
EELV
4
4.2%
EN
15
15.6%
LR
8
8.3%
RN
34
35.4%
REC
7
7.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
51.0%
Parti socialiste + Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts
43.8%
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
43.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by OpinionWay. The survey took place between 28.05.2024 and 30.05.2024 among 2149 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 33%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 14%, Les Républicains 7%, La France insoumise 6%, Reconquête 6%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1%, Les Patriotes 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Union populaire républicaine 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.