EU-Parliament: Poll by SocioMétrica from 02.06.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
34.1
-0.7
PSOE
29.3
-0.1
Vox
10.1
-0.6
Sumar
6.3
±0.0
AR
3.8
-0.7
POD
3.7
+0.4
JxC
2.8
+0.1
SALF
2.7
+0.7
CEUS
1.6
+1.6
Cs
0.9
±0.0
Others
4.7
-0.7
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PP
-0.1
PSOE
-1.9
Vox
+0.5
Sumar
+1.6
AR
New
POD
+0.4
JxC
+0.3
SALF
-1.9
CEUS
±0.0
Cs
+0.2
SocioMétrica – 3058 respondents – 30.05.2024-02.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 42% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 45% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from SocioMétrica shows the following results: Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 3.8%, Podemos 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2.8%, SALF 2.7%, CEUS 1.6% and Ciudadanos 0.9%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Sumar might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. SALF, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SocioMétrica. For this purpose, 3058 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.05.2024 - 02.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
2
2.1%
Sumar
7
7.3%
AR
4
4.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
30
31.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
35
36.5%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
Partido Popular + Vox
47.9%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos
46.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by SocioMétrica. The survey took place between 30.05.2024 and 02.06.2024 among 3058 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 34.1%, PSOE 29.3%, Vox 10.1%, Sumar 6.3%, Ahora Repúblicas 3.8%, Podemos 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2.8%, SALF 2.7%, CEUS 1.6% and Ciudadanos 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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