EU-Parliament: Poll by GESOP from 31.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
32.0
±0.0
PSOE
31.5
±0.0
Vox
8.1
±0.0
Sumar
5.8
±0.0
AR
5.0
±0.0
POD
4.4
±0.0
SALF
3.7
±0.0
JxC
2.0
±0.0
CEUS
1.8
±0.0
Cs
0.9
±0.0
Others
4.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PP
-2.2
PSOE
+0.3
Vox
-1.5
Sumar
+1.1
AR
New
POD
+1.1
SALF
-0.9
JxC
-0.5
CEUS
+0.2
Cs
+0.2
GESOP – 1013 respondents – 27.05.2024-31.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 59% of election polls GESOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE lower

In 37% of election polls GESOP rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sumar higher

In 63% of election polls, GESOP rates Sumar higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 36% of election polls, GESOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from GESOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 32%, PSOE 31.5%, Vox 8.1%, Sumar 5.8%, Ahora Repúblicas 5%, Podemos 4.4%, SALF 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, CEUS 1.8% and Ciudadanos 0.9%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Podemos might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GESOP. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (27.05.2024 - 31.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
3
3.1%
Sumar
6
6.3%
AR
6
6.3%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
32
33.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
33
34.4%
Vox
9
9.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
PSOE + Ahora Repúblicas + Sumar + Podemos
50.0%
PSOE + Ahora Repúblicas + Sumar
45.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by GESOP. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 31.05.2024 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 32%, PSOE 31.5%, Vox 8.1%, Sumar 5.8%, Ahora Repúblicas 5%, Podemos 4.4%, SALF 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, CEUS 1.8% and Ciudadanos 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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