EU-Parliament: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 01.06.2024

Polling data

Union
30.5
-0.5
AfD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
15.0
±0.0
SPD
13.5
+1.0
BSW
6.0
-0.5
FDP
4.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
±0.0
FW
2.5
±0.0
PARTEI
1.5
±0.0
Tier
1.5
-0.5
Others
7.5
+1.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
Union
New
AfD
New
Grüne
New
SPD
New
BSW
New
FDP
New
Linke
New
FW
New
PARTEI
New
Tier
New
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 2000 respondents – 27.05.2024-01.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 30% of election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower

In 78% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30.5%, AfD 15%, Grüne 15%, SPD 13.5%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3%, Freie Wähler 2.5%, Die PARTEI 1.5% and Tierschutzpartei 1.5%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (27.05.2024 - 01.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
Linke
3
3.1%
PARTEI
1
1%
Tier
1
1%
SPD
15
15.6%
Grüne
16
16.7%
BSW
6
6.3%
FDP
4
4.2%
Union
32
33.3%
FW
2
2.1%
AfD
16
16.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD
65.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
56.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD + BSW
56.3%
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
55.2%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
54.2%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
54.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
53.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
50.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
50.0%
CDU/CSU + SPD
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 01.06.2024 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30.5%, AfD 15%, Grüne 15%, SPD 13.5%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3%, Freie Wähler 2.5%, Die PARTEI 1.5% and Tierschutzpartei 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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