EU-Parliament: Poll by CESOP-UCP from 03.06.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PS
33.0
+3.0
AD
31.0
±0.0
CH
12.0
-3.0
IL
8.0
+2.0
BE
4.0
-1.0
CDU
4.0
-1.0
L
4.0
-1.0
PAN
1.0
±0.0
Others
3.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PS
+33.0
AD
+31.0
CH
+12.0
IL
+8.0
BE
+4.0
CDU
+4.0
L
+4.0
PAN
+1.0
CESOP-UCP – 1552 respondents – 27.05.2024-03.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Aliança Democrática higher

In 63% of election polls, CESOP-UCP rates Aliança Democrática higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Chega lower

In 41% of election polls CESOP-UCP rates Chega lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from CESOP-UCP shows the following results: Partido Socialista 33%, Aliança Democrática 31%, Chega 12%, Iniciativa Liberal 8%, Bloco de Esquerda 4%, CDU 4%, LIVRE 4% and PAN 1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Partido Socialista might gain the most in voter favorability with +33.0 growth since the last election. PAN, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CESOP-UCP. For this purpose, 1552 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (27.05.2024 - 03.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
BE
4
4.2%
CDU
4
4.2%
L
4
4.2%
PS
33
34.4%
IL
8
8.3%
AD
31
32.3%
CH
12
12.5%
0.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by CESOP-UCP. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 03.06.2024 among 1552 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 33%, Aliança Democrática 31%, Chega 12%, Iniciativa Liberal 8%, Bloco de Esquerda 4%, CDU 4%, LIVRE 4% and PAN 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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