EU-Parliament
Election trend
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EU-Parliament: Poll by Turu-uuringute AS from 05.06.2023

Polling data

SDE
23.2
±0.0
K
20.7
±0.0
EKRE
15.9
±0.0
I
14.6
±0.0
R
9.8
±0.0
KOOS
7.3
±0.0
P
3.7
±0.0
E200
2.4
±0.0
EER
1.2
±0.0
Sonst.
1.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
SDE
New
K
New
EKRE
New
I
New
R
New
KOOS
New
P
New
E200
New
EER
New
Turu-uuringute AS – 1010 respondents – 31.05.2023-05.06.2023

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates EKRE lower

In 32% of election polls Turu-uuringute AS rates EKRE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Keskerakond higher

In 42% of election polls, Turu-uuringute AS rates Keskerakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reformierakond lower

In 53% of election polls Turu-uuringute AS rates Reformierakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the European election from Turu-uuringute AS shows the following results: SDE 23.2%, Keskerakond 20.7%, EKRE 15.9%, Isamaa 14.6%, Reformierakond 9.8%, KOOS 7.3%, Parempoolsed 3.7%, E200 2.4% and EER 1.2%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, SDE might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. SDE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Turu-uuringute AS. For this purpose, 1010 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (31.05.2023 - 05.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

96
SDE
23
K
21
EER
1
E200
2
R
9
I
14
KOOS
7
P
3
EKRE
16
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE + Keskerakond + Isamaa
58
SDE + Keskerakond + Reformierakond
53
SDE + Isamaa + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
49
Keskerakond + Isamaa + Reformierakond + Parempoolsed
47
SDE + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Turu-uuringute AS. The survey took place between 31.05.2023 and 05.06.2023 among 1010 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDE 23.2%, Keskerakond 20.7%, EKRE 15.9%, Isamaa 14.6%, Reformierakond 9.8%, KOOS 7.3%, Parempoolsed 3.7%, E200 2.4% and EER 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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