EU-Parliament: Poll by Cluster17 from 07.06.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
31.0
+31.0
EN
15.0
+15.0
PS
13.0
+13.0
LFI
9.0
+9.0
LR
7.0
+7.0
REC
5.5
+5.5
EELV
5.0
+5.0
PA
2.5
+2.5
PCF
2.0
+2.0
AR
1.5
+1.5
LP
1.0
+1.0
UPR
1.0
+1.0
EAC
0.5
+0.5
ETÉ
0.5
+0.5
LO
0.5
+0.5
ND
0.5
+0.5
Others
4.5
-95.5
Cluster17 – 1503 respondents – 06.06.2024-07.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Ensemble lower

In 52% of election polls Cluster17 rates Ensemble lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates La France insoumise higher

In 65% of election polls, Cluster17 rates La France insoumise higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Les Verts lower

In 30% of election polls Cluster17 rates Les Verts lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Rassemblement national lower

In 68% of election polls Cluster17 rates Rassemblement national lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête higher

In 35% of election polls, Cluster17 rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from Cluster17 shows the following results: Rassemblement national 31%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 13%, La France insoumise 9%, Les Républicains 7%, Reconquête 5.5%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1.5%, Les Patriotes 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, EAC 0.5%, ETÉ 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and ND 0.5%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with New growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 1503 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.06.2024 - 07.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
AR
1
1%
LFI
10
10.4%
PCF
2
2.1%
PA
2
2.1%
PS
14
14.6%
EELV
5
5.2%
EN
16
16.7%
LR
8
8.3%
RN
32
33.3%
REC
6
6.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
60.4%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
58.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
56.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 06.06.2024 and 07.06.2024 among 1503 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 31%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 13%, La France insoumise 9%, Les Républicains 7%, Reconquête 5.5%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1.5%, Les Patriotes 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, EAC 0.5%, ETÉ 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and ND 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.