EU-Parliament: Poll by 40dB from 30.05.2024

EU-Parliament: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PP
33.2
-0.3
PSOE
30.1
±0.0
Vox
10.7
-1.9
Sumar
5.6
-0.1
AR
4.8
+0.2
POD
4.0
±0.0
SALF
2.5
+2.5
JxC
2.1
-0.1
CEUS
1.5
-0.4
Cs
1.0
-0.1
Others
4.5
+0.2
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PP
-1.0
PSOE
-1.1
Vox
+1.1
Sumar
+0.9
AR
New
POD
+0.7
SALF
-2.1
JxC
-0.4
CEUS
-0.1
Cs
+0.3
40dB – 2000 respondents – 28.05.2024-30.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next elections of the EU parliament is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 53% of election polls 40dB rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSOE higher

In 31% of election polls, 40dB rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sumar lower

In 32% of election polls 40dB rates Sumar lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

EU-Parliament - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in EU-Parliament from 40dB shows the following results: Partido Popular 33.2%, PSOE 30.1%, Vox 10.7%, Sumar 5.6%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Podemos 4%, SALF 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, CEUS 1.5% and Ciudadanos 1%. If an election were held in EU-Parliament this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. SALF, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by 40dB. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (28.05.2024 - 30.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
2
2.1%
Sumar
6
6.3%
AR
5
5.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
31
32.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
34
35.4%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos
47.9%
Partido Popular + Vox
46.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by 40dB. The survey took place between 28.05.2024 and 30.05.2024 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33.2%, PSOE 30.1%, Vox 10.7%, Sumar 5.6%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Podemos 4%, SALF 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, CEUS 1.5% and Ciudadanos 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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