Latest voting intention survey by Kantar TNS for Finland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Finland conducted by Kantar TNS, the parties received the following results: Kokoomus 19.8%, SDP 19.2%, Perussuomalaiset 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 11.4%, Vihreä liitto 8.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2002 people during the period 25.03.2023 - 25.03.2023. The survey was commissioned by HS.
2002 participants
09.03.2023 - 25.03.2023
Kantar TNS
HS
KOK
19.8
-1.0
SDP
19.2
-0.1
PS
19.2
-0.1
KESK
11.4
+0.7
VIHR
8.4
+0.1
VAS
8.3
+0.1
SFP
4.5
±0.0
KD
4.0
±0.0
LIIK
1.9
-0.3
Others
3.3
+0.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
17
8.5%
SDP
40
20%
VIHR
17
8.5%
KESK
24
12%
SFP
9
4.5%
KOK
41
20.5%
KD
8
4%
LIIK
4
2%
PS
40
20%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
89
PolitPro Score
Kantar TNS achieves a score of 89/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar TNS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.71
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2023 | 1/2 |
|
0.96
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2019 | 2/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.