Latest voting intention survey by Taloustutkimus for Finland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Finland conducted by Taloustutkimus, the parties received the following results: SDP 25.3%, Kokoomus 20.2%, Suomen Keskusta 15.6%, Perussuomalaiset 11.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.4%, Vihreä liitto 7.9%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.9%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.5% and Liike Nyt 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2422 people during the period 06.05.2025 - 06.05.2025. The survey was commissioned by Yle.
2422 participants
14.04.2025 - 06.05.2025
Taloustutkimus
Yle
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
19
9.5%
SDP
52
26%
VIHR
16
8%
KESK
32
16%
SFP
8
4%
KOK
42
21%
KD
7
3.5%
LIIK
1
0.5%
PS
23
11.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Perussuomalaiset + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
88
PolitPro Score
Taloustutkimus achieves a score of 88/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Taloustutkimus pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.93
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2023 | 2/2 |
|
0.79
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2019 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.