Latest voting intention survey by Tietoykkönen for Finland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Finland conducted by Tietoykkönen, the parties received the following results: SDP 24.1%, Perussuomalaiset 18.8%, Kokoomus 16.2%, Suomen Keskusta 12.9%, Vihreä liitto 9.7%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.2% and Liike Nyt 1.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 29.04.2020 - 29.04.2020. The survey was commissioned by Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi.
1500 participants
14.04.2020 - 29.04.2020
Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
15
7.5%
SDP
50
25%
VIHR
20
10%
KESK
27
13.5%
SFP
8
4%
KOK
33
16.5%
KD
6
3%
LIIK
2
1%
PS
39
19.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Tietoykkönen pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.3
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2019 | 3/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.