Latest voting intention survey by Tietoykkönen for Finland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Finland conducted by Tietoykkönen, the parties received the following results: SDP 24.1%, Perussuomalaiset 18.8%, Kokoomus 16.2%, Suomen Keskusta 12.9%, Vihreä liitto 9.7%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.2% and Liike Nyt 1.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 29.04.2020 - 29.04.2020. The survey was commissioned by Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi.
1500 participants
14.04.2020 - 29.04.2020
Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi
SDP
24.1
+3.0
PS
18.8
-1.3
KOK
16.2
-0.6
KESK
12.9
+1.0
VIHR
9.7
-1.0
VAS
7.3
-0.5
SFP
4.0
-0.6
KD
3.2
+0.3
LIIK
1.4
±0.0
Others
2.4
-0.3
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
15
7.5%
SDP
50
25%
VIHR
20
10%
KESK
27
13.5%
SFP
8
4%
KOK
33
16.5%
KD
6
3%
LIIK
2
1%
PS
39
19.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
83
PolitPro Score
Tietoykkönen achieves a score of 83/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Tietoykkönen pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.3
|
Parliamentary Election in Finnland 2019 | 3/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.