Latest Opinion Poll for the Finland Election (Taloustutkimus, April 7, 2026)

March 4, 2026 - April 7, 2026

2543 respondents

Next General Election in Finland: 2027

The next General Election in Finland is expected in 2027.

Finland's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Taloustutkimus projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 35.0% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Taloustutkimus?

According to the latest national poll in Finland by Taloustutkimus, SDP leads with 24.1%. They are followed by Kokoomus: 17.4%, Suomen Keskusta: 14.5%, Perussuomalaiset: 13.5%, Vasemmistoliitto: 11.3%, Vihreä liitto: 8.7%, Svenska folkpartiet: 3.8%, Kristillisdemokraatit: 3.2% and Liike Nyt: 1%. Other parties secure 2.5% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Taloustutkimus Projection?

88

PolitPro Score

Taloustutkimus achieved a PolitPro Score of 88 out of 100.

0.9

Election Accuracy

On average, Taloustutkimus's figures deviate by 0.9 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

No Electoral Threshold

There is no electoral threshold for the Finnish election.

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Taloustutkimus)

According to Taloustutkimus, 9 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Finnish parliament: SDP with 50 representatives, Kokoomus with 36 representatives, Suomen Keskusta with 30 representatives, Perussuomalaiset with 28 representatives, Vasemmistoliitto with 23 representatives, Vihreä liitto with 18 representatives, Svenska folkpartiet with 7 representatives, Kristillisdemokraatit with 6 representatives and Liike Nyt with 2 representatives.

The Electoral System in Finland

The Finnish Parliament (Eduskunta) comprises 200 members elected for a four-year term. The country is divided into 13 electoral districts. Finland employs a system of proportional representation with open lists: voters must cast their ballot for a specific candidate, not just a party. The total votes for all candidates of a party determine that party's seat allocation, while individual candidate votes decide who from the list enters Parliament. An exception is Åland, which holds one fixed seat in the Eduskunta.

Electoral Thresholds

Unlike many other European nations, Finland does not impose a statutory percentage electoral threshold (e.g., a 5% hurdle) at the national level. Instead, the effective threshold for entering Parliament stems from the number of seats in each electoral district – known as the 'natural quorum'. In multi-seat districts like Helsinki, smaller parties find it easier to secure a mandate than in smaller constituencies. This system fosters a diverse party landscape within the Eduskunta.

Government Formation and Traditions

As no single party in Finland typically secures an absolute majority, coalition governments are the norm. These often comprise four or more parties to ensure a stable parliamentary majority. Following an election, the leader of the largest party spearheads government formation negotiations. A defining feature is the detailed government program, which serves as a binding operational framework for the entire legislative term. Once formed, the government must be confirmed by the Eduskunta through the election of the Prime Minister.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.