Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 14.10.2022

Polling data

KOK
24.2
+0.6
SDP
19.0
-0.2
PS
17.3
+1.2
KESK
10.4
-1.4
VIHR
9.0
-0.6
VAS
8.3
+0.3
SFP
4.6
+0.2
KD
3.2
-0.2
LIIK
1.7
-0.3
Others
2.3
0.0
Kantar TNS – 2462 respondents – 12.09.2022-14.10.2022
No abnormalities
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 02.04.2023
The next general election in Finland will be held in 123.

Coalition possibilities

Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
54.8
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
53.4
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmisto + Svenska
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 52.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 12.09.2022 and 14.10.2022 among 2462 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 24.2%, SDP 19%, Perussuomalaiset 17.3%, Suomen Keskusta 10.4%, Vihreä liitto 9%, Vasemmisto 8.3%, Svenska 4.6%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.2% and Liike Nyt 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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