Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 11.11.2022

Polling data

KOK
24.2
±0.0
SDP
19.3
+0.3
PS
17.4
+0.1
KESK
10.1
-0.3
VIHR
9.2
+0.2
VAS
8.0
-0.3
SFP
4.4
-0.2
KD
3.3
+0.1
LIIK
1.9
+0.2
Sonst.
2.2
-0.1
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
+3.4
SDP
-0.6
PS
-2.7
KESK
-1.2
VIHR
+2.2
VAS
+0.9
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.9
LIIK
-0.5
Kantar TNS – 2416 respondents – 17.10.2022-11.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 24.2%, SDP 19.3%, Perussuomalaiset 17.4%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.3% and Liike Nyt 1.9%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Kokoomus might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 50.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2416 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (17.10.2022 - 11.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
16
SDP
40
VIHR
19
KESK
21
SFP
9
KOK
50
KD
6
LIIK
3
PS
36
Majority requires 101 seats
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
111
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
109
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
107
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
105
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
105
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
102
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
102
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
101
Kokoomus + SDP + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
99
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
99
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet
99
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
99
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 11.11.2022 among 2416 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 24.2%, SDP 19.3%, Perussuomalaiset 17.4%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.3% and Liike Nyt 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.