Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Taloustutkimus from 31.01.2023

Polling data

KOK
21.6
-1.4
SDP
19.1
+0.3
PS
18.4
-0.9
VIHR
10.3
+0.7
KESK
10.1
-0.8
VAS
7.6
-1.0
SFP
4.4
+0.4
KD
4.0
+1.1
LIIK
1.8
+0.5
Sonst.
2.7
+1.1
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
+0.8
SDP
-0.8
PS
-1.7
VIHR
+3.3
KESK
-1.2
VAS
+0.5
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.2
LIIK
-0.6
Taloustutkimus – 2466 respondents – 09.01.2023-31.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Taloustutkimus shows the following results: Kokoomus 21.6%, SDP 19.1%, Perussuomalaiset 18.4%, Vihreä liitto 10.3%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.6%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.8%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.3 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Taloustutkimus. For this purpose, 2466 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 22 days (09.01.2023 - 31.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
15
SDP
40
VIHR
21
KESK
21
SFP
9
KOK
45
KD
8
LIIK
3
PS
38
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Vihreä liitto + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
106
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
106
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
106
Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
104
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
104
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
103
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
102
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
100
Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
99
SDP + Vihreä liitto + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
99
Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Taloustutkimus. The survey took place between 09.01.2023 and 31.01.2023 among 2466 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 21.6%, SDP 19.1%, Perussuomalaiset 18.4%, Vihreä liitto 10.3%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.6%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.