Finland
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Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 10.02.2023

Polling data

KOK
21.3
-1.5
PS
20.0
+0.9
SDP
19.2
+0.7
KESK
9.6
-0.2
VIHR
9.4
+0.2
VAS
8.0
+0.2
SFP
4.4
±0.0
KD
3.9
±0.0
LIIK
2.0
-0.2
Others
2.2
0.0
Development since the last election on 14.04.2019
KOK
+4.3
PS
+2.5
SDP
+1.5
KESK
-4.2
VIHR
-2.1
VAS
-0.2
SFP
-0.1
KD
±0.0
LIIK
-0.3
Kantar TNS – 2412 respondents – 16.01.2023-10.02.2023

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 21.3%, Perussuomalaiset 20%, SDP 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 9.6%, Vihreä liitto 9.4%, Vasemmisto 8%, Svenska 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Kokoomus might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Sanna Marin is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Suomen Keskusta, SDP, Vihreä liitto, Vasemmisto and Svenska. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2412 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (16.01.2023 - 10.02.2023).

Next election: 02.04.2023
The next general election in Finland will be held in 1.

Coalition possibilities

SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmisto + Svenska
51.7
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
51.2
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
51.0
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.9
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.7
Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 51.7% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 16.01.2023 and 10.02.2023 among 2412 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 21.3%, Perussuomalaiset 20%, SDP 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 9.6%, Vihreä liitto 9.4%, Vasemmisto 8%, Svenska 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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