Upcoming elections:

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 10.02.2023

Polling data

KOK
21.3
-1.5
PS
20.0
+0.9
SDP
19.2
+0.7
KESK
9.6
-0.2
VIHR
9.4
+0.2
VAS
8.0
+0.2
SFP
4.4
±0.0
KD
3.9
±0.0
LIIK
2.0
-0.2
Others
2.2
-0.1
Kantar TNS – 2412 respondents – 16.01.2023-10.02.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 21.3%, Perussuomalaiset 20%, SDP 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 9.6%, Vihreä liitto 9.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 50.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2412 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (16.01.2023 - 10.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
16
SDP
40
VIHR
19
KESK
19
SFP
9
KOK
44
KD
8
LIIK
4
PS
41
Majority requires 101 seats
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
104
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
103
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
103
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 16.01.2023 and 10.02.2023 among 2412 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 21.3%, Perussuomalaiset 20%, SDP 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 9.6%, Vihreä liitto 9.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.