Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Taloustutkimus from 10.02.2023

Polling data

KOK
20.8
-0.8
SDP
19.9
+0.8
PS
19.0
+0.6
KESK
9.5
-0.6
VAS
9.0
+1.4
VIHR
8.9
-1.4
SFP
4.4
±0.0
KD
3.6
-0.4
LIIK
1.5
-0.3
Sonst.
3.4
+0.7
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
±0.0
SDP
±0.0
PS
-1.1
KESK
-1.8
VAS
+1.9
VIHR
+1.9
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.6
LIIK
-0.9
Taloustutkimus – 2459 respondents – 16.01.2023-10.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Taloustutkimus shows the following results: Kokoomus 20.8%, SDP 19.9%, Perussuomalaiset 19%, Suomen Keskusta 9.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9%, Vihreä liitto 8.9%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.6% and Liike Nyt 1.5%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vasemmistoliitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.9 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Taloustutkimus. For this purpose, 2459 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (16.01.2023 - 10.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
18
SDP
42
VIHR
18
KESK
20
SFP
9
KOK
43
KD
7
LIIK
3
PS
40
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
107
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
103
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
102
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
103
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
101
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
99
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Taloustutkimus. The survey took place between 16.01.2023 and 10.02.2023 among 2459 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 20.8%, SDP 19.9%, Perussuomalaiset 19%, Suomen Keskusta 9.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9%, Vihreä liitto 8.9%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.6% and Liike Nyt 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.