Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 25.03.2023

Finland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
KOK
19.8
-1.0
SDP
19.2
-0.1
PS
19.2
-0.1
KESK
11.4
+0.7
VIHR
8.4
+0.1
VAS
8.3
+0.1
SFP
4.5
±0.0
KD
4.0
±0.0
LIIK
1.9
-0.3
Others
3.3
+0.6
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
-1.0
SDP
-0.7
PS
-0.9
KESK
+0.1
VIHR
+1.4
VAS
+1.2
SFP
+0.2
KD
-0.2
LIIK
-0.5
Kantar TNS – 2002 respondents – 09.03.2023-25.03.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 19.8%, SDP 19.2%, Perussuomalaiset 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 11.4%, Vihreä liitto 8.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.9%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Kokoomus, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 16 days (09.03.2023 - 25.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
17
8.5%
SDP
40
20%
VIHR
17
8.5%
KESK
24
12%
SFP
9
4.5%
KOK
41
20.5%
KD
8
4%
LIIK
4
2%
PS
40
20%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
53.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
53.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
53.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
52.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
52.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Liike Nyt
51.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
51.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
51.0%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
49.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 09.03.2023 and 25.03.2023 among 2002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 19.8%, SDP 19.2%, Perussuomalaiset 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 11.4%, Vihreä liitto 8.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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