Upcoming elections:

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 25.03.2023

Polling data

KOK
19.8
-1.0
SDP
19.2
-0.1
PS
19.2
-0.1
KESK
11.4
+0.7
VIHR
8.4
+0.1
VAS
8.3
+0.1
SFP
4.5
±0.0
KD
4.0
±0.0
LIIK
1.9
-0.3
Sonst.
3.3
+0.6
Kantar TNS – 2002 respondents – 09.03.2023-25.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 19.8%, SDP 19.2%, Perussuomalaiset 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 11.4%, Vihreä liitto 8.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.9%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Kokoomus, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 16 days (09.03.2023 - 25.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
17
SDP
40
VIHR
17
KESK
24
SFP
9
KOK
41
KD
8
LIIK
4
PS
40
Majority requires 101 seats
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 09.03.2023 and 25.03.2023 among 2002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 19.8%, SDP 19.2%, Perussuomalaiset 19.2%, Suomen Keskusta 11.4%, Vihreä liitto 8.4%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.3%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.