Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 07.04.2019

Polling data

SDP
19.6
-1.4
KOK
17.5
-0.6
PS
15.0
+3.9
KESK
14.4
+0.1
VIHR
12.0
-2.0
VAS
9.6
+0.7
SFP
4.4
±0.0
KD
4.1
-0.1
SIN
1.1
-0.1
Sonst.
2.3
-0.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
SDP
-0.3
KOK
-3.3
PS
-5.1
KESK
+3.1
VIHR
+5.0
VAS
+2.5
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.1
SIN
Kantar TNS – 2000 respondents – 03.04.2019-07.04.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: SDP 19.6%, Kokoomus 17.5%, Perussuomalaiset 15%, Suomen Keskusta 14.4%, Vihreä liitto 12%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.6%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Sininen tulevaisuus 1.1%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 42.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (03.04.2019 - 07.04.2019).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
19
SDP
41
VIHR
25
KESK
29
SFP
9
KOK
36
KD
8
SIN
2
PS
31
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
114
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
107
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
106
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
105
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
104
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
104
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
103
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
102
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
99
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
98
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 03.04.2019 and 07.04.2019 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 19.6%, Kokoomus 17.5%, Perussuomalaiset 15%, Suomen Keskusta 14.4%, Vihreä liitto 12%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.6%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Sininen tulevaisuus 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.