Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 07.04.2019

Polling data

SDP
19.6
-1.4
KOK
17.5
-0.6
PS
15.0
+3.9
KESK
14.4
+0.1
VIHR
12.0
-2.0
VAS
9.6
+0.7
SFP
4.4
±0.0
KD
4.1
-0.1
SIN
1.1
-0.1
Others
2.3
±0.0
Kantar TNS – 2000 respondents – 03.04.2019-07.04.2019

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: SDP 19.6%, Kokoomus 17.5%, Perussuomalaiset 15%, Suomen Keskusta 14.4%, Vihreä liitto 12%, Vasemmisto 9.6%, Svenska 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Sininen tulevaisuus 1.1%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.9 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Sanna Marin is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Suomen Keskusta, SDP, Vihreä liitto, Vasemmisto and Svenska. With 61.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (03.04.2019 - 07.04.2019).

Next election: 02.04.2023
The next general election in Finland will be held in 7.

Coalition possibilities

SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmisto
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
52.7
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
50.3
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmisto + Svenska
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 61.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 03.04.2019 and 07.04.2019 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 19.6%, Kokoomus 17.5%, Perussuomalaiset 15%, Suomen Keskusta 14.4%, Vihreä liitto 12%, Vasemmisto 9.6%, Svenska 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Sininen tulevaisuus 1.1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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