Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Taloustutkimus from 09.04.2019

Polling data

SDP
19.0
-1.1
PS
16.3
+1.2
KOK
15.9
+0.1
KESK
14.5
+0.1
VIHR
12.2
-0.8
VAS
8.7
-1.1
SFP
4.9
+0.6
KD
4.3
+0.8
SIN
0.8
-0.1
Sonst.
3.4
+0.3
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
SDP
-0.9
PS
-3.8
KOK
-4.9
KESK
+3.2
VIHR
+5.2
VAS
+1.6
SFP
+0.6
KD
+0.1
SIN
Taloustutkimus – 1969 respondents – 01.04.2019-09.04.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Taloustutkimus shows the following results: SDP 19%, Perussuomalaiset 16.3%, Kokoomus 15.9%, Suomen Keskusta 14.5%, Vihreä liitto 12.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.9%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.3% and Sininen tulevaisuus 0.8%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. Kokoomus, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Taloustutkimus. For this purpose, 1969 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (01.04.2019 - 09.04.2019).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
18
SDP
40
VIHR
25
KESK
30
SFP
10
KOK
33
KD
9
SIN
1
PS
34
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto
113
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
108
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
107
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
107
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
107
Perussuomalaiset + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
106
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
105
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
104
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
103
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
98
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
98
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Taloustutkimus. The survey took place between 01.04.2019 and 09.04.2019 among 1969 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 19%, Perussuomalaiset 16.3%, Kokoomus 15.9%, Suomen Keskusta 14.5%, Vihreä liitto 12.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.9%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.3% and Sininen tulevaisuus 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.