Finland: Poll by Kantar Public from 15.07.2023

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
KOK
22.0
+22.0
PS
19.8
-1.1
SDP
19.4
+0.2
KESK
9.8
-0.4
VAS
8.1
+0.1
VIHR
8.0
+0.3
SFP
4.5
+0.1
KD
3.9
-0.1
LIIK
2.1
+0.1
Others
2.4
-21.2
Kantar Public – 2486 respondents – 19.06.2023-15.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Perussuomalaiset higher

In 83% of election polls, Kantar Public rates Perussuomalaiset higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP lower

In 50% of election polls Kantar Public rates SDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Suomen Keskusta lower

In 83% of election polls Kantar Public rates Suomen Keskusta lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vasemmistoliitto lower

In 67% of election polls Kantar Public rates Vasemmistoliitto lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Kantar Public shows the following results: Kokoomus 22%, Perussuomalaiset 19.8%, SDP 19.4%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.1%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.1%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Kokoomus might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 52.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 2486 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 26 days (19.06.2023 - 15.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
16
8%
SDP
40
20%
VIHR
16
8%
KESK
20
10%
SFP
9
4.5%
KOK
46
23%
KD
8
4%
LIIK
4
2%
PS
41
20.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
53.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
53.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
52.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
51.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
50.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
49.5%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
49.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 19.06.2023 and 15.07.2023 among 2486 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 22%, Perussuomalaiset 19.8%, SDP 19.4%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.1%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.