Finland: Poll by Kantar Public from 11.08.2023

Polling data

SDP
21.5
+2.1
KOK
21.4
-0.6
PS
19.0
-0.8
KESK
9.5
-0.3
VIHR
8.1
+0.1
VAS
8.0
-0.1
SFP
4.4
-0.1
KD
3.7
-0.2
LIIK
2.0
-0.1
Sonst.
2.4
±0.0
Kantar Public – 2460 respondents – 17.07.2023-11.08.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar Public shows the following results: SDP 21.5%, Kokoomus 21.4%, Perussuomalaiset 19%, Suomen Keskusta 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7% and Liike Nyt 2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 2460 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (17.07.2023 - 11.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
16
SDP
45
VIHR
17
KESK
19
SFP
9
KOK
44
KD
7
LIIK
4
PS
39
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
108
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
106
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
102
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 17.07.2023 and 11.08.2023 among 2460 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 21.5%, Kokoomus 21.4%, Perussuomalaiset 19%, Suomen Keskusta 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7% and Liike Nyt 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.