Upcoming elections:

Finland: Poll by Verian from 03.11.2023

Polling data

SDP
21.5
±0.0
KOK
20.6
±0.0
PS
17.2
±0.0
KESK
10.2
±0.0
VAS
9.1
±0.0
VIHR
8.8
±0.0
SFP
4.1
±0.0
KD
3.9
±0.0
LIIK
2.1
±0.0
Sonst.
2.5
±0.0
Verian – 2388 respondents – 09.10.2023-03.11.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Verian shows the following results: SDP 21.5%, Kokoomus 20.6%, Perussuomalaiset 17.2%, Suomen Keskusta 10.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.1%, Vihreä liitto 8.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.1%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.1%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vasemmistoliitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 46.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 2388 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (09.10.2023 - 03.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
18
SDP
45
VIHR
18
KESK
21
SFP
8
KOK
43
KD
8
LIIK
4
PS
35
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
109
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
106
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Liike Nyt
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 09.10.2023 and 03.11.2023 among 2388 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 21.5%, Kokoomus 20.6%, Perussuomalaiset 17.2%, Suomen Keskusta 10.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.1%, Vihreä liitto 8.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.1%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.