Finland: Poll by Taloustutkimus from 04.06.2024

Finland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SDP
23.0
-1.4
KOK
22.3
+1.0
PS
14.8
-0.8
KESK
11.5
±0.0
VAS
9.5
+0.7
VIHR
8.0
+0.3
KD
3.7
-0.3
SFP
3.7
+0.3
LIIK
0.8
-1.0
Others
2.7
+1.2
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
SDP
+3.1
KOK
+1.5
PS
-5.3
KESK
+0.2
VAS
+2.4
VIHR
+1.0
KD
-0.5
SFP
-0.6
LIIK
-1.6
Taloustutkimus – 2452 respondents – 08.05.2024-04.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Taloustutkimus shows the following results: SDP 23%, Kokoomus 22.3%, Perussuomalaiset 14.8%, Suomen Keskusta 11.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.7% and Liike Nyt 0.8%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.1 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 45.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Taloustutkimus. For this purpose, 2452 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 27 days (08.05.2024 - 04.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
20
10%
SDP
48
24%
VIHR
16
8%
KESK
24
12%
SFP
7
3.5%
KOK
46
23%
KD
7
3.5%
LIIK
1
0.5%
PS
31
15.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
59.0%
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
55.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
54.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.0%
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit
50.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet
50.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
50.5%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
50.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Taloustutkimus. The survey took place between 08.05.2024 and 04.06.2024 among 2452 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 23%, Kokoomus 22.3%, Perussuomalaiset 14.8%, Suomen Keskusta 11.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.7% and Liike Nyt 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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