Finland: Poll by Taloustutkimus from 05.11.2024

Polling data

SDP
24.3
+1.7
KOK
18.8
-1.2
PS
15.7
-1.0
KESK
13.1
-0.1
VAS
9.3
±0.0
VIHR
8.0
+0.4
SFP
4.0
+0.1
KD
3.5
+0.1
LIIK
1.1
-0.3
Others
2.2
+0.3
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
SDP
+4.4
KOK
-2.0
PS
-4.4
KESK
+1.8
VAS
+2.2
VIHR
+1.0
SFP
-0.3
KD
-0.7
LIIK
-1.3
Taloustutkimus – 2383 respondents – 07.10.2024-05.11.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Taloustutkimus shows the following results: SDP 24.3%, Kokoomus 18.8%, Perussuomalaiset 15.7%, Suomen Keskusta 13.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.3%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.5% and Liike Nyt 1.1%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.4 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Taloustutkimus. For this purpose, 2383 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (07.10.2024 - 05.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
19
9.5%
SDP
50
25%
VIHR
16
8%
KESK
27
13.5%
SFP
8
4%
KOK
39
19.5%
KD
7
3.5%
LIIK
2
1%
PS
32
16%
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
58.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
56.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
53.0%
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
52.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
52.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
52.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
52.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
50.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
50.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Taloustutkimus. The survey took place between 07.10.2024 and 05.11.2024 among 2383 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 24.3%, Kokoomus 18.8%, Perussuomalaiset 15.7%, Suomen Keskusta 13.1%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.3%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.5% and Liike Nyt 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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