Finland: Poll by Verian from 15.11.2024

Polling data

SDP
22.5
-0.3
KOK
19.8
+0.4
PS
16.3
+0.2
KESK
12.2
-0.3
VAS
9.1
+0.5
VIHR
7.8
-0.2
KD
3.9
-0.1
SFP
3.9
-0.3
LIIK
2.4
+0.2
Others
2.1
-0.1
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
SDP
+2.6
KOK
-1.0
PS
-3.8
KESK
+0.9
VAS
+2.0
VIHR
+0.8
KD
-0.3
SFP
-0.4
LIIK
±0.0
Verian – 2622 respondents – 14.10.2024-15.11.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Verian shows the following results: SDP 22.5%, Kokoomus 19.8%, Perussuomalaiset 16.3%, Suomen Keskusta 12.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.1%, Vihreä liitto 7.8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.4%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 45.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 2622 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 32 days (14.10.2024 - 15.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
18
9%
SDP
46
23%
VIHR
16
8%
KESK
25
12.5%
SFP
8
4%
KOK
41
20.5%
KD
8
4%
LIIK
5
2.5%
PS
33
16.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
56.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
53.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
53.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
52.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Liike Nyt
52.0%
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
51.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.5%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.5%
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
50.0%
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
50.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
50.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
50.0%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
49.5%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 14.10.2024 and 15.11.2024 among 2622 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDP 22.5%, Kokoomus 19.8%, Perussuomalaiset 16.3%, Suomen Keskusta 12.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.1%, Vihreä liitto 7.8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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