Current Election Trend for Finland
Who is leading in the election trend in Finland?
In the current election trend in Finland, SDP leads with 21.4%. This is an increase of +1.5 percentage points since the last election.
Kokoomus reaches 20.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.2 percentage points).
Perussuomalaiset experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 17.7% (-2.4).
Suomen Keskusta reaches 12% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.7 percentage points).
Vasemmistoliitto lands at 9.4% and gains +2.3 percentage points since the last election.
Vihreä liitto lands at 8.3% and gains +1.3 percentage points since the last election.
Kristillisdemokraatit reaches 3.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.5 percentage points).
Svenska folkpartiet reaches 3.5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.8 percentage points).
Liike Nyt reaches 1.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).
1.6% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Taloustutkimus for Yle and Verian, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
Therefore, the will of at least 5039 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 9 parties could enter parliament: SDP, Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto, Vihreä liitto, Kristillisdemokraatit, Svenska folkpartiet and Liike Nyt reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
Latest polls for Finland
What is the latest poll for Finland?
Coalitions
Which coalitions are currently possible in Finland?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Finland shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDP |
+1.6
|
+0.5
|
+0.5
|
+1.5
|
+1.5
|
| Kokoomus |
-1.0
|
-1.8
|
-0.8
|
-0.2
|
-0.2
|
| Perussuomalaiset |
-0.6
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-2.4
|
-2.4
|
| Suomen Keskusta |
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
+1.4
|
+0.7
|
+0.7
|
| Vasemmistoliitto |
+0.4
|
+0.7
|
-0.2
|
+2.3
|
+2.3
|
| Vihreä liitto |
-0.5
|
+0.4
|
-0.7
|
+1.3
|
+1.3
|
| Kristillisdemokraatit |
+0.4
|
-0.4
|
-0.1
|
-0.5
|
-0.5
|
| Svenska folkpartiet |
-0.2
|
-0.5
|
-0.5
|
-0.8
|
-0.8
|
| Liike Nyt |
-0.1
|
-0.3
|
+0.5
|
-0.6
|
-0.6
|
Finland — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Finland?
In the parliament of Finland, there are 200 representatives from 10 parties. 108 representatives are part of the government from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. The opposition from SDP, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto, Vihreä liitto, Liike Nyt and Sonstige Parteien has 92 representatives.
67 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 100 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Finland?
Parliamentary election in Finland 2027
The Parliamentary election in Finland 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition of Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. In the last Parliamentary election in Finland in 2023, Kokoomus (20.8% - 48 seats), Perussuomalaiset (20.1% - 46 seats), SDP (19.9% - 43 seats), Suomen Keskusta (11.3% - 23 seats), Vasemmistoliitto (7.1% - 11 seats), Vihreä liitto (7% - 13 seats), Svenska folkpartiet (4.3% - 9 seats), Kristillisdemokraatit (4.2% - 5 seats), Liike Nyt (2.4% - 1 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (2.9% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 72.7%.