Latest voting intention survey by Cluster17 for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by Cluster17, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 29%, NFP 25%, Ensemble 14%, Les Républicains 13%, Divers gauche 5.5%, Reconquête 4%, Divers droite 2%, Debout la France 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1133 people during the period 07.09.2025 - 07.09.2025.
1133 participants
05.09.2025 - 07.09.2025
Cluster17
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
6
1%
NFP
152
26.3%
DVG
34
5.9%
EN
85
14.7%
LR
79
13.7%
RN
176
30.5%
DVD
12
2.1%
DLF
9
1.6%
REC
24
4.2%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
Rassemblement national + NFP
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête + Divers droite
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Divers gauche
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête + Debout la France
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche + Divers droite + Debout la France
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche + Divers droite
46
PolitPro Score
Cluster17 achieves a score of 46/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
3.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Cluster17 pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.05
|
Parliamentary Election in France 2024 | 2/8 |
|
4.97
|
Parliamentary Election in France 2022 | 1/4 |
|
2.1
|
Parliamentary Election in France 2022 | 6/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.