Latest polls from ELABE
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in ELABE pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.9 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, ELABE's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
1x on rank 8
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Reconquête lower
In 44% of election polls ELABE rates Reconquête lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.