Latest voting intention survey by Odoxa for France
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in France conducted by Odoxa, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 35%, NFP 27.5%, Ensemble 21%, Les Républicains 7%, Divers droite 2%, Divers gauche 1.5%, Reconquête 1.5%, Extrême gauche 1% and Les Verts 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1330 people during the period 27.06.2024 - 27.06.2024.
1330 participants
26.06.2024 - 27.06.2024
Odoxa
RN
35.0
+2.0
NFP
27.5
-0.5
EN
21.0
+2.0
LR
7.0
±0.0
DVD
2.0
+1.0
DVG
1.5
-1.5
REC
1.5
-2.0
EXG
1.0
+1.0
EELV
1.0
-0.5
Others
2.5
-1.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
577
Majority requires 289 seats
EXG
6
1%
NFP
163
28.2%
DVG
9
1.6%
EELV
6
1%
EN
124
21.5%
LR
41
7.1%
RN
207
35.9%
DVD
12
2.1%
REC
9
1.6%
Rassemblement national + NFP
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
NFP + Ensemble + Divers droite
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche
NFP + Ensemble + Les Verts
NFP + Ensemble + Extrême gauche
NFP + Ensemble
60
PolitPro Score
Odoxa achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Odoxa pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.93
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2024 | 1/8 |
|
1.43
|
Parliamentary Election in Frankreich 2022 | 1/12 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.