These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

BVA

N/A

December 6, 2021 - December 8, 2021

894 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the BVA projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 41.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from BVA?

The latest national poll in France by BVA reveals Ensemble leads with 24%, followed by Les Républicains: 17%, Rassemblement national: 16%, Reconquête: 13%, La France insoumise: 9%, Les Verts: 7%, Parti socialiste: 5%, Debout la France: 2.5%, Parti communiste français: 2.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste: 1.5%, Résistons!: 1% and Lutte Ouvrière: 0.5%. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the BVA Projection?

PolitPro Score

BVA achieved a PolitPro Score of 57 out of 100.

1.9

Election Accuracy

On average, BVA's figures deviate by 1.9 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Ensemble

In 27% of polls, BVA rated Ensemble higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Rassemblement national

In 45% of polls, BVA rated Rassemblement national higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Les Républicains

In 73% of polls, BVA rated Les Républicains lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reconquête

In 30% of polls, BVA rated Reconquête lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

BVA at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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