These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Cluster17

N/A

December 12, 2021 - December 15, 2021

1520 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the Cluster17 projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 40.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Cluster17?

The latest national poll in France by Cluster17 reveals Ensemble leads with 22%, followed by Les Républicains: 18%, Rassemblement national: 15%, Reconquête: 15%, La France insoumise: 13%, Les Verts: 5%, Parti socialiste: 3%, Parti communiste français: 2%, Debout la France: 1.5%, Les Patriotes: 1%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste: 1%, Résistons!: 1%, Union populaire républicaine: 1% and Lutte Ouvrière: 0.5%. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Cluster17 Projection?

PolitPro Score

Cluster17 achieved a PolitPro Score of 48 out of 100.

3.1

Election Accuracy

On average, Cluster17's figures deviate by 3.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates NFP

In 75% of polls, Cluster17 rated NFP higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reconquête

In 26% of polls, Cluster17 rated Reconquête higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Ensemble

In 47% of polls, Cluster17 rated Ensemble lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Les Républicains

In 42% of polls, Cluster17 rated Les Républicains lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Rassemblement national

In 45% of polls, Cluster17 rated Rassemblement national lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Cluster17 at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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